Rabbit Hole Series #2.2

PP
Calculating pip profit from the first signal entry to end of wave. Negative numbers, of course, for the entries that occur at the end of the wave. There were a few (<10 or so) that had a “valid entry” but occurred near the end of the wave anyhow, so the potential was quite low. The overall summary of this single aspect is roughly: 98% of the time if you take the first signal that appears in the true wave, there is a 70% chance to make at least 5 pips. Seems okay, but is missing the possibly large error that the system would require assumption of where the current wave start point is. Sometimes one would perhaps think that a UR is starting when it’s really just a small bounce in a continuation DT.]

The upside is that the large majority of the profits are in the over 25 pips category, suggesting that overall, this TCD does give the correct signal about where price can go. I think this is an okay start depending on what I can add on to it, I still need to:
Look at the other two scenarios: oversold in down moves and overbought in uptrend moves
Look at the TCD crosses or create a new TCD to interact with this one.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s